Another rise of Covid cases in Bristol – latest daily figures

Another 21 coronavirus cases have been confirmed in and around Bristol in the latest daily figures.

Public Health England has today (September 19) announced case rises in every local authority area of the Bristol region.

In the city itself, there were six positive Covid-19 tests in 24 hours, taking its total to 1,687.

North Somerset saw a rise of seven, South Gloucestershire five and Bath & North East Somerset (B&NES) three.

It means there have been 1,065 cases in North Somerset since the pandemic started, 945 in South Gloucestershire and 474 in B&NES.

It comes after increases of 13 in Bristol the previous day, 12 in North Somerset, 10 in South Gloucestershire and three in B&NES.

Across the UK, some 4,322 cases were confirmed in the latest daily figures, bringing the total to 390,358.

The Government on Friday revealed the South West’s coronavirus R number and growth rate could be higher than anywhere else in the UK.

In the region, the R rate is believed to be between 0.9 and 1.6, which means on average every 10 infected people will infect between nine and 16 other people.

The potential figure of 1.6 is higher than that of any other region of the UK, according to the Government figures released today (September 18).

The highest elsewhere is 1.5, in the Midlands and North West, where several areas have entered local lockdown.

If the R is above 1.0, it is expected to grow exponentially.

And the South West’s growth rate is estimated to be between zero per cent and plus nine per cent, meaning the number of new infections is growing by between zero per cent and nine per cent every day.

The South West’s potential figure of plus nine per cent is higher than the growth rate of any other region.

The next highest potential growth rate is plus eight per cent in the Midlands, North West, and North East and Yorkshire.

It means the South West’s R and growth rate are both believed to have increased since last week, when R was estimated 0.9 to 1.2, and growth rate between minus one per cent and plus four per cent.

The Government Office for Science says “the most likely true values are somewhere towards the middle” of the ranges given in these figures.

Until last week, the Government released these figures with the caveat that case numbers are too low for the R or growth rate to inform policy decisions.

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This caveat was not included in last week’s or this week’s release of figures, which could mean local lockdown measures are possible in any region.

Health Secretary Matt Hancock has warned a second national lockdown is “on the cards”.

NHS Test and Trace chief Dido Harding has said demand for tests in England is outstripping supply by up to four times.

At least 10 schools in Bristol, North Somerset and South Gloucestershire have had children test positive for coronavirus since term started – with more reporting “suspected” cases.

Neither of Bristol’s hospital trusts have recorded a new death over the past 24 hours, with deaths remaining at 271.

Nationally, 27 further Covid-related deaths were recorded in the latest daily figures, bringing the UK’s total to 41,759.

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