The hot weather is on its way – we just have to be patient and get through some more unsettled weather including rain and thunder.
The Met Office is still forecasting some ‘hot’ conditions in August, but July is looking like a mixed bag in its 25-day long-range UK forecast.
It suggests that the rain we have been seeing recently is not going away, and in fact could be heavy and widespread into next week.
But things are looking up for the next weekend, with drier conditions with potentially above-average temperatures in some parts of the country – potentially feeling ‘very warm’ in the south.
And as we end July and go into August, things start to look up – although the risk of thunder can’t be discounted.
But we should see above-average temperatures with the south “possibly feeling very warm or hot at times.”
This does not mean we will see a heatwave, as the Met Office has not yet quantified what these potentially “very warm spells” could look like.
The Met Office says: “A heatwave is an extended period of hot weather relative to the expected conditions of the area at that time of year, which may be accompanied by high humidity.”
In Bristol, we can expected overcast skies and some heavy rain this afternoon (Wednesday, July 7) with temperature highs of 19C. Thursday will see a cloudy morning turning sunny by late morning (22C), Friday will be cloudy (19C) and Saturday, cloudy with light rain by late morning (19C).
Below is the latest Met Office long-range forecast
Sunday, July 11 – Tuesday, July 20
We could see a continuation of showers and longer periods of rain going into next week, these potentially heavy and widespread. From mid-next week onwards, it is most likely turning increasingly settled with a good deal of dry weather, variable cloud and spells of sunshine. For the remainder of this period, there is a chance of warmer and drier than average conditions overall.
The occasional spell of rain and unsettled weather are still possible, particularly over northwestern areas. However, most of the UK could see fine and dry conditions with slight showers at times for some.
Temperatures are likely to be around average in the northwest and above average elsewhere, whilst south and southeastern areas could see conditions feeling very warm.
Wednesday, July 21 – Wednesday, August 4
For the rest of July and into early August, there is a chance of conditions being warmer and drier than average overall. Some occasional spells of unsettled weather are still possible, especially in the northwest of the UK, but most areas should have a good deal of fine and dry weather. There remains a low risk of thunder, especially across southern and eastern areas.
Temperatures are likely to be above average, with the south possibly feeling very warm or hot at times.