It’s still feeling autumnal out there but we could start seeing some wintry conditions across the UK from the end of November and into December, the Met Office is saying.
In its latest long-range forecast for the UK, the weather experts say a key time is the end of this month when there is an “increasing chance of some wintry conditions”.
This is mainly a risk over high ground in the north of the country, but lower levels could also be risk. It is too early to say if those wintry conditions will bring snow or sleet.
And as the month ends and December begins, winds from the north and northwest could bring temperatures to near or slightly below average – and this means a “slightly higher than normal chance of wintry conditions”, especially across the north.
Before then, the weather in Bristol is looking overcast on Wednesday (November 10) with the chance of rain around lunchtime. Temperatures will peak at around 13C, the Met Office says.
Thursday is looking dry with some sunny intervals in the afternoon with highs of 14C.
Expect light rain throughout Friday (13C) with a cloudy evening.
Saturday to Wednesday is looking dry with temperatures climbing to highs of between 10C and 13C on overcast days.
Below, we look at the Met Office’s regional forecast for the next few days and then the full forecast into the first week of December.
Met Office South West forecast
Wednesday (November 10): A cloudy and damp day with foggy conditions over the hills, and with spells of light rain or drizzle. There may be some drier interludes in the east during the afternoon, but remaining damp elsewhere. Light winds and staying mild. Maximum temperature 14 °C.
Wednesday night: Cloudy with further outbreaks of drizzle this evening and at first tonight. It should gradually become drier during the early hours, with some breaks in the cloud by morning. Minimum temperature 8 °C.
Thursday: A much brighter day on Thursday, with any lingering cloud soon clearing to leave largely sunny skies. Feeling pleasant in the sunshine with only light winds. Maximum temperature 14 °C.
Outlook for Friday to Sunday: Breezy on Friday with spells of rain at times. Largely dry with bright or sunny spells on Saturday. Cooler and breezy on Sunday but mainly dry with some sunshine.
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Met Office UK long-range forecast
Sunday, November 14 to Tuesday, November 23
Remaining changeable and autumnal particularly to the north through the start of this period as low-pressure systems dominate, sometimes accompanied by rain and strong winds.
Elsewhere while rain is possible at times, drier and brighter conditions are more likely in the south and southeast regions, although some rain will likely reach even here at times.
A rather cold start to the period will likely be followed by a brief recovery in temperatures, before a further likely trend down later on in the month. Later on in the month there will also be an increasing chance of some wintry conditions, mainly over the higher ground in the north, but with a slight risk to lower levels.
Wednesday, November 24 to Wednesday, December 8
Towards the end of November and into early December there are signs of an increased likelihood of north to northwesterly winds. This means that overall temperatures are likely to be near or slightly below average, although some milder spells cannot be ruled out. In such patterns the most unsettled, wetter and windier conditions are often found across northern areas, while the most settled, driest and brightest conditions are predominantly across the south.
There is a slightly higher than normal chance of some wintry conditions, especially across the north.
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